Aviation Body Eurocontrol Reportedly Says Air travel Could Recover To Pre-COVID-19 Pandemic Levels By 2023
According to The Irish Times, aviation body Eurocontrol has said that air travel could recover to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by 2023. Following an "encouraging" summer, the European air navigation...
According to The Irish Times, aviation body Eurocontrol has said that air travel could recover to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels by 2023.
Following an "encouraging" summer, the European air navigation body reportedly expects to see approximately 6.2 million flights in the continent’s skies this year, 44% fewer than in 2019, but at the higher end of previous recovery predictions.
Eamonn Brennan, Eurocontrol's director general and former Irish Aviation Authority chief, reportedly said that flights could reach 9.8 million in Europe next year, just 11% down on 2019.
"But we must be aware that there are still significant downside risks that could affect the recovery," he reportedly cautioned.
In Eurocontrol's high scenario, with effective vaccination continuing in Europe and globally, air travel reportedly could return to 2019 levels by 2023.
The organisation's figures reportedly show flights reaching the 11.1 million mark that they hit in 2019 by 2023 and continuing to grow beyond that.
However, its worst-case scenario reportedly shows recovery dragging to 2027. This reportedly could occur if inoculation rates slowed, vaccines proved less effective and lockdowns returned.
Eurocontrol's baseline prediction is reportedly closer to the more optimistic position, but reportedly tempered by lack of co-ordination among EU states and a slow return of business travel.
Previous predictions from Eurocontrol reportedly warned of recovery taking until 2029 in some cases.
In May, the organisation reportedly forecast that flights would reach 5.5 million this year, reportedly leaving air travel at half 2019 levels.
Announcements last week by Ryanair and United Airlines reportedly lifted confidence in Irish air travel's recovery.
However, the government reportedly imposed the toughest restrictions in Europe on travel through the pandemic and reopened the Republic later than the rest of the EU, reportedly leaving Irish air travel with more ground to make up than elsewhere in the bloc.
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